ENGINEERING 323
PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS

Instructor
BETH E SCHENBACH
Science A 454 
(707) 826-4348 
Office Hours 		Required Text
Jay L. Devore, 
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences, 4th Edition, Duxbury Press		 Recommended Texts
Gonick, L. and W. Smith 
The Cartoon Guide to Statistics 
HarperPerennial 

Data Analysis with Excel

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  • Redwood Site  
    Find data files, old exams and excel files here.

ENGR 323 is now on Blackboard

Course information is now found on HSU's Blackboard site.   Students need a login ID and a password.  The ID is your axe account ID and your password is your social security number.

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Course Schedule (subject to change) 

Week

Topics

Weekly Reading 
(to be completed before Friday's Lab)

Assignments Due
at the beginning of class on Monday

Beautiful HW Implementors and 
(Assistants)

(1)
1/21

Logistics, Introduction/Overview, Descriptive Statistics ,  

Read Ch 1

 

HW 1: None
Eschenbach

(2)
1/28

Sample Spaces Events, Combinations and Permutations,
Conditional Probability

Read Ch 2.1 - 2.3 

HW 1 or Quiz 

HW 2 : 
Eschenbach

(3)
2/4

 Independence, 
Bayes Theorem,
Discrete Random, Variables 

Read Ch 2.4 - 2.5
Read Ch. 3.1-3.2

HW 2 or Quiz 

HW 3: 
White
Eschenbach

(4)
2/11

Expectation and Variance,
Binomial and Negative Binomial Distributions

Read Ch. 3.3-3.5 

HW 3 or Quiz 

HW 4:
Tilles
White

(5)
2/18

Exam I
Hypergeometric and  Poisson Distributions  

Read Ch. 3.6

HW 4 or Quiz 

HW 5:
Eschenbach

(6)
2/25

 
Continuous RVs,PDFs, CDFs and Expected Values and Variance

Read Ch. 4.1 

HW 5 or Quiz 

HW 6:
Eschenbach

(7)
3/4

 Normal Distribution 
Normal Distribution Approximations 

Read Ch. 4.2-4.3 
Read Handouts 

HW 6 or Quiz

HW 7: 
Differding
Tilles 

(8)
3/11

Normal Distribution Approximations 
Gamma Distribution

Read Ch. 4.3
Read Ch. 4.4

HW 7 or Quiz

HW 8: 
King
Differding
  Spring Break Spring Break Spring Break Spring Break

(9)
3/25

Exponential Distribution
Log Normal Distribution

Read Ch. 4.4-4.5
Read Handouts 

HW 8 or Quiz

HW 9:
Little
King

(10)
4/1

Exam II, 
Weibull and Gumbel Distributions 

Read Ch. 4.5 
Read Handouts 

HW 9 or Quiz

HW 10:
Eschenbach

(11)
4/8

Change of Variable and Reliability Topics

Read Ch. 4.5 
Read Handouts 

 

HW 10:
Eschenbach

(12)
4/15

Multivariate Distributions 
Conditional PDFs and PMFs Covariance and Correlation 

Read Ch. 5.1-5.2 

HW 10 or Quiz

HW 11:
Franke
Little

(13)
4/22

Covariance and Correlation 
Distributions of Statistics and the Sample Mean 

Read Ch. 5.3-5.4 

HW 11 or Quiz 

HW 12:
Kelley, Oxford
Franke

(14)
4/29

Distribution of a Linear Combination and Reliability topics

Read Ch. 5.5 

HW 12 or Quiz 

HW 13: 
Fox, Tanner
Kelley, Oxford

(15)
4/6

Examples and Review 

Examples and Review 

HW 13  

None 

Finals

Friday May 17

Comprehensive Final

 1020-1210

 31 % of final grade

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Homework Solutions Spring 2002

Solutions can be found on Blackboard.  Previous homework solutions are below.

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Homework Solutions Spring 2001

You will need Adobe Acrobat Reader to read most of the files below. You can download Adobe Acrobat Reader at no cost. Be sure to follow the appropriate links for the Adobe product called Acrobat Reader. You will have choices, based on your platform.

Solutions to Other Problems

The hardest part of probability is setting up problems.  Use these solutions to test your ability to set up problems.

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|| Beth Eschenbach ||
|| Environmental Resources